ISW continues to assess that neither Russia nor Belarus seeks nuclear escalation and that their use of nuclear weapons remains unlikely, as was stated in the latest report of US Institute for Study of War (ISW).

It was noted that Russian officials will likely continue to intensify Russia's reflexive control campaign to discourage ongoing Western military support for Ukraine and discourage.

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced preparations for non-strategic (tactical) nuclear weapons exercises to "practice the preparation and use” of tactical nuclear weapons, and is likely meant to bolster the Kremlin's effort to coerce the West into self-deterring from providing additional military assistance to Ukraine.

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