• $
  • £

How Turkey turned from emerging star to economic mess - PHOTO

How Turkey turned from emerging star to economic mess - PHOTO
08.08.2014 21:00
Turkey's economy, fattened with foreign investment during its boom-times, has stalled amid warnings its model is unsustainable.

The country's $800 billion economy remains among the 20 biggest in the world -- but the IMF says it can't last and remains too vulnerable to dangers outside its borders. The OECD has also weighed in with concerns, saying the country's addiction to foreign money risks volatility.How did it get into this mess?Many developed countries struggled with growth after the global financial crisis. But not Turkey, which grew substantially over the last decade -- the country's GDP grew by average 5.5% per year.The government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, now a presidential candidate, was praised for its ability to attract foreign investors from Europe and emerging markets such as Russia and China.The rapid economic growth was largely fueled by cheap credit pouring into the country. As the crisis hit developed economies, investors turned to emerging markets, which promised higher returns than depressed Western markets.For years, Turkey enjoyed a foreign-funded construction boom. House prices have soared more than 50% since the end of 2009 and both the country's GDP and per capita income have increased threefold since 2003.But the party ended with the U.S. Federal Reserve announcing a scale-back in its stimulus program last summer. Suddenly, there was less cash available to invest.With more security in the U.S. economy, investors started pulling their money from the emerging markets.Turkey's growth slowed to just above 2% in 2013 and the country's currency, the lira, slumped further in January this year. That forced Turkey's central bank to ratchet up its interest rates from 7.7% to 12% -- showing the bank's determination to prevent foreign capital outflows.Erdogan strongly opposed the bank's move to raise the rates. He argued it would hurt Turkey's growth, blaming the lira's tumble on the opposition and an "interest rates lobby," and saying it was the result of a conspiracy.What's the economy doing now?The OECD expects 3.5% growth in 2014, picking up slightly from 2013, but high inflation is pushing the country back and hurting consumers. At around 9%, annual inflation is nearly double the Turkish central bank's target of 5%.This, coupled with the country's low employment rate leads to high levels of poverty. In an OECD study, one in three Turks said they were not able to afford sufficient food. The OECD average is one in seven.Furthermore, 20% of Turks live below the relative poverty line, meaning they survive on less then half of the Turkish median income. This makes Turkey the third poorest developed nation, with Mexico and Israel lagging behind.Turkey's strategic position means the country is the bridge between Asia and Europe. Its membership of NATO and candidacy to join the European Union reflect its importance.But unrest and uncertainty has already cost the country millions, with its stock market losing a third of its value last year.(CNN)Bakudaily.Az

Similar news
Similar news
Iranian media says Tehran submitted new proposal to Pakistan
World 17:00
Iranian media says Tehran submitted new proposal to Pakistan
Armenian authorities launch probe into alleged assassination plot against Pashinyan
World 16:30
Armenian authorities launch probe into alleged assassination plot against Pashinyan

Russian ambassador summoned to Moldovan Foreign Ministry over UAV incident
World 16:00
Russian ambassador summoned to Moldovan Foreign Ministry over UAV incident
Kremlin: Peace process on Ukraine has been suspended
World 15:30
Kremlin: Peace process on Ukraine has been suspended
Trump to discuss possible military action against Iran
World 11:29
Trump to discuss possible military action against Iran
Cruise ship with hantavirus cases to be disinfected in Rotterdam
World 11:00
Cruise ship with hantavirus cases to be disinfected in Rotterdam
Hezbollah says it disabled 48 Israeli tanks over past month
World 09:30
Hezbollah says it disabled 48 Israeli tanks over past month
Trump says he could consider 20-year freeze on Iran’s nuclear programme
World 17:00
Trump says he could consider 20-year freeze on Iran’s nuclear programme
Lavrov says West is trying to pull Armenia into its orbit
World 16:30
Lavrov says West is trying to pull Armenia into its orbit
Anews TV

Our official Youtube channel

Subscribe